Analytics

Ukraine Analytics: Deep War, Policy, Economy & Security Analysis

Ukrainian defensive posture with troops, intelligence data and industry icons integrated

Learning Military and Intelligence Lessons: Toward a Ukrainian Defencive Strategy

There is a battle coming in Ukraine and anyone that does not understand this either in Washington, London, Paris, Berlin or Kyiv now is too late already. Why is there a battle coming? Because A. either the Russian proxy army will advance or B.…
Apr 19, 2015
russia ukraine war an illusory truce minsk agreements ceasefire in eastern ukraine

Russia-Ukraine war: an illusory truce

At the conclusion of the second round of the Minsk talks the heads of Ukraine, Germany, France, and Russia agreed to a ceasefire in eastern Ukraine. Officially the ceasefire was to be in force from February 15, 2015. In truth,…
Apr 17, 2015

From Kyiv to the Front: Part 2 – The scars of war

We have read and heard a lot about volunteers providing food, medical supplies, and other essentials for the Ukrainian soldiers at the front. At the same time the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and government officials have…
Apr 7, 2015

The “Kyiv-Frontline” Route: How volunteers’ humanitarian aid gets to Ukrainian soldiers

We have heard and read a lot about volunteers providing food, medical supplies, and other essentials for the Ukrainian soldiers at the front. At the same time the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and government officials have…
Apr 5, 2015
Concept map of Intermarium Baltic‑to‑Black Sea alliance showing multiple Central European nations linked for security and cooperation.

Intermarium as a Compromise Solution

Explore Intermarium as a compromise security bloc for Ukraine and Central Europe—why this Baltic‑to‑Black Sea alliance idea could counter Russia and balance power.
Mar 31, 2015
abyss calling to abyss modern russian elite rejected the idea of conscience or its existence worst things the ukrainian government could do in resisting russian aggression is to try to copy the a-moral methods the russian regime utilizes

Abyss calling to abyss: Modern Russian elite rejected the idea of ”conscience” or its existence

One of the worst things the Ukrainian government could do in resisting Russian aggression is to try to copy the a-moral methods the Russian regime utilizes. If Ukraine were to try that Ukraine could end up with a regime and…
Mar 30, 2015

Crimea occupation a year on: how Crimean Tatars have lost their Homeland again

Crimean Tatars have a wedding dance, which during years of fight for the national identity was changed from the festival ritual to the symbol of return to the native land. By this dance, either of passion or pain, they tried…
Mar 25, 2015

My Ukrainian Donetsk

Donetsk. What is Donetsk? What an ambiguous and complex question. A similar question, a more important question should be asked: why and for whom is it advantageous to describe the citizens of Donetsk as losers, cowards, and separatists?
Mar 19, 2015
Ukraine warfront and Minsk II negotiation table symbolic image

Minsk II – just a break between the Russian Empire battles

Minsk II is no better than Minsk I. Ask anyone whether ‘Minsk agreements’ holds or it’s main articles are in place and you will get a conversation along these lines: Is Minsk II holding? Yes. Was Debaltseve a breach of Minsk II? Well,…
Mar 17, 2015

‘Another Putsch?’ sounds more logical than ‘Where is Mr Putin’?

Is it a strange Putsch in Russia that’s lasting 9 days already, taking place in a completely closed regime – and no information even from the Western Media?
Mar 15, 2015
analysis of Russian regime strategy showing emphasis on force deterrence military power and geopolitical conflict dynamics Ukraine war

Force is the only thing that the Russian regime respects

Does Russia respect diplomacy—or only force? This analysis explores power, deterrence, and the strategic logic shaping the war in Ukraine.
Mar 8, 2015

The mysterious Debaltseve railway hub: handed over or captured?

The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has maintained that Debaltseve is a vital transportation hub and that keeping it under Ukrainian government control was important. Due to President Poroshenko’s goal “to save lives” and in accordance with…
Mar 7, 2015

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