Analytics

Ukraine Analytics: Deep War, Policy, Economy & Security Analysis

analysis of Russian regime strategy showing emphasis on force deterrence military power and geopolitical conflict dynamics Ukraine war

Force is the only thing that the Russian regime respects

Does Russia respect diplomacy—or only force? This analysis explores power, deterrence, and the strategic logic shaping the war in Ukraine.
Mar 8, 2015

The mysterious Debaltseve railway hub: handed over or captured?

The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has maintained that Debaltseve is a vital transportation hub and that keeping it under Ukrainian government control was important. Due to President Poroshenko’s goal “to save lives” and in accordance with…
Mar 7, 2015
Boris Nemtsov assassination near Kremlin analysis Russia political turning point Putin rise opposition crackdown EMPR media historical context

Russia’s Last Chance: Nemtsov, Putin, and a Turning Point

The killing of Boris Nemtsov near the Kremlin marked a historic rupture in Russia’s trajectory—reshaping politics, opposition, and the country’s future.
Feb 27, 2015
Vladimir Putin portrait symbolizing centralized power networks and alleged mafia-style governance in Russia’s political system

Vladimir Putin’s mafia summary

From 1990s St. Petersburg deals to today’s war machine, Putin’s network operates like a mafia state—where loyalty, power, and control override law.
Feb 25, 2015

“Information panic” and Ukraine’s brave armed forces

Will anyone be brought to account for spreading “information panic”? Of provoking a continuous chorus of laments: treason! treason! treason!..our troops are surrounded! our soldiers have been captured! Well-known contemporary Ukrainian poet, writer and essayist Oksana Zabuzhko expresses her view on current information enviroment towards…
Feb 24, 2015
ukrainian organized withdrawal from debaltsevo is questionable a report from Ukrainian soldier who was sent to Debaltsevo where he fought in battles and broke out of debaltsevo in the organized withdrawal

Ukrainian organized withdrawal from Debaltseve is questionable

For those EMPR readers who would like to learn more about Ukrainian armed forces withdrawal from the encircled town of Debaltseve in the conflict zone in eastern Ukraine. Yuriy Butusov published a report from one of the "Vega" squadron fighters (part of the…
Feb 24, 2015
Conceptual image of information warfare showing digital propaganda, media influence, and psychological operations linked to Russia’s strategy

High-grade information war or the pose of an ostrich?

While missiles hit Ukraine, another war rages unseen. EMPR analysis warns the world may be ignoring Russia’s information strategy—with dangerous global consequences.
Feb 6, 2015
Empty streets and damaged buildings in occupied Donetsk reflecting decline, fear, and harsh living conditions under Russian control

A letter from occupied Donetsk: reality Putin does not want to see

What is life really like in occupied Donetsk? This letter reveals fear, silence, and survival—far from the reality Putin wants the world to see.
Feb 2, 2015
Ruined Minsk Protocol document overlayed on a Ukraine warfront map

The Minsk Protocol lies in ruins

The Trilateral Contact Group has started a meeting in Minsk to deal with the situation in Eastern Ukraine. Diplomats and officials from around the world are pinning theirs hope on positive results. However, as the saying goes, ‘An appeaser is…
Jan 31, 2015
four paths to the hague for lpr and dpr terrorists mh17 shelling mariupol shelling bus volnovakha shelling bus donetsk

Four paths to the Hague for LPR and DPR terrorists

Recent gravest crimes against humanity of the Russian Donbas terrorists which could be judged in the International Court of Justice in the Hague.
Jan 28, 2015
Ukrainian soldiers and civilians symbolize resistance and unity amid ongoing war against Russian invasion in eastern Ukraine

Force of Resistance: Why Ukraine Still Stands Strong

What keeps Ukraine fighting against overwhelming odds? EMPR analysis breaks down the true force of resistance—beyond weapons, rooted in identity, will, and survival.
Jan 28, 2015

Donetsk: absolute ruination

Vitaliy Portnikov: Three years ago when new airport terminals were being built in Ukraine in preparation for the forthcoming European Championship soccer games I, unlike many of my compatriots, was not too excited.
Jan 26, 2015

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